IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.9	#302
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	62.9	#321
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.3	#311

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.6	#267

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	19.0%	34.3%	18.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.5	15.9

.500 or above	53.8%	84.5%	53.4%
.500 or above in Conference	87.7%	94.5%	87.6%
Conference Champion	24.5%	48.9%	24.2%
Last Place in Conference	1.1%	0.0%	1.1%

First Four	15.5%	15.9%	15.5%
First Round	10.2%	25.4%	10.0%
Second Round	0.2%	0.1%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Clemson (Away) - 1.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 1.2	0.0 - 1.2
Quad 1b	0.0 - 1.0	0.0 - 2.2
Quad 2	0.1 - 1.5	0.1 - 3.8
Quad 3	0.6 - 2.8	0.8 - 6.6
Quad 4	13.0 - 6.7	13.8 - 13.2

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2018	18	@ Clemson	L	54-75	1%
Nov 13, 2018	36	@ Cincinnati	L	52-71	2%
Nov 15, 2018	205	@ Bowling Green	L	67-72	23%
Nov 20, 2018	129	@ George Mason	L	63-73	11%
Nov 23, 2018	263	Nicholls St.	L	70-72	43%
Nov 24, 2018	343	Southern	W	68-62	70%
Dec 01, 2018	304	McNeese St.	W	70-69	62%
Dec 08, 2018	175	@ Appalachian St.	L	66-73	19%
Dec 13, 2018	304	@ McNeese St.	W	70-69	41%
Dec 16, 2018	221	@ Coastal Carolina	L	64-68	26%
Dec 19, 2018	71	@ Saint Louis	L	55-70	6%
Jan 05, 2019	299	Bethune-Cookman	L	74-75	60%
Jan 12, 2019	341	@ Maryland Eastern Shore	W	67-61	59%
Jan 14, 2019	351	@ Delaware St.	W	68-59	69%
Jan 19, 2019	345	Coppin St.	W	68-61	79%
Jan 21, 2019	339	Morgan St.	W	70-65	73%
Jan 26, 2019	347	N.C. A&T	W	72-65	80%
Jan 28, 2019	353	@ Savannah St.	W	84-74	72%
Feb 02, 2019	299	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	74-75	41%
Feb 04, 2019	352	@ Florida A&M	W	70-60	72%
Feb 09, 2019	341	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	67-61	76%
Feb 11, 2019	351	Delaware St.	W	68-59	84%
Feb 16, 2019	277	@ Norfolk St.	L	67-69	35%
Feb 18, 2019	305	@ Howard	W	72-71	41%
Feb 23, 2019	353	Savannah St.	W	84-74	86%
Feb 25, 2019	348	South Carolina St.	W	74-66	81%
Mar 07, 2019	347	@ N.C. A&T	W	72-65	63%
Projected Record						13.8 - 13.2	10.7 - 5.3

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.8	3.1	6.8	7.5	5.0	1.3		24.5	1st
2nd										0.1	0.9	4.5	7.3	5.6	1.7	0.1			20.2	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.8	4.5	6.2	3.1	0.4	0.0				15.0	3rd
4th								0.0	0.4	3.7	5.6	2.2	0.2						12.1	4th
5th								0.1	2.0	4.3	1.9	0.1							8.5	5th
6th							0.0	1.0	3.4	1.7	0.1								6.3	6th
7th						0.0	0.5	2.2	1.7	0.3	0.0								4.6	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	1.4	1.7	0.4	0.0									3.7	8th
9th				0.0	0.1	0.7	1.1	0.3	0.0										2.2	9th
10th			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.3	0.0											1.4	10th
11th		0.0	0.0	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.0												0.8	11th
12th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0													0.6	12th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.9	2.0	3.4	5.3	7.8	10.8	13.0	13.8	13.7	12.8	9.2	5.2	1.3			Total

Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	1.3		1.3
15-1	97.5%	5.0		4.4	0.7	0.0
14-2	81.9%	7.5		5.3	2.0	0.2
13-3	52.7%	6.8		3.1	3.1	0.6	0.0
12-4	22.5%	3.1		0.8	1.3	0.8	0.1	0.0
11-5	5.8%	0.8		0.0	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.0
10-6	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	24.5%	24.5		14.9	7.3	1.9	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	1.3%		79.9%	79.9%		15.5													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.3
15-1	5.2%		63.0%	63.0%		15.8														0.0	0.1	0.5	2.7	1.9
14-2	9.2%		44.4%	44.4%		15.9														0.0	0.0	0.2	3.8	5.1
13-3	12.8%		33.3%	33.3%		16.0															0.0	0.1	4.2	8.6
12-4	13.7%		21.3%	21.3%		16.0																0.0	2.9	10.8
11-5	13.8%		13.8%	13.8%		16.0																	1.9	11.9
10-6	13.0%		7.5%	7.5%		16.0																	1.0	12.0
9-7	10.8%		3.1%	3.1%		16.0																	0.3	10.5
8-8	7.8%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																	0.1	7.7
7-9	5.3%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	5.3
6-10	3.4%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	3.3
5-11	2.0%																							2.0
4-12	0.9%																							0.9
3-13	0.5%																							0.5
2-14	0.2%																							0.2
1-15	0.1%																							0.1
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		19.0%	19.0%	0.0%	15.9													0.0	0.0	0.2	1.1	17.6	81.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%